December 5, 2013
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:43 | 4:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 090 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -42 |
Justin Scoggins earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:43, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 100 | 900 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Justin Scoggins controlled the striking exchanges with 47 vs 19 total strikes, 27 vs 2 significant strikes, 73.0% vs 28.6% accuracy. Justin Scoggins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:06 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 074 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Justin Scoggins controlled Richie Vaculik on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:06 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Justin Scoggins demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Justin Scoggins capitalized on this activity level, while Richie Vaculik's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Justin Scoggins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Richie Vaculik is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Richie Vaculik |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.