July 13, 2018
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 906 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Said Nurmagomedov overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Justin Scoggins.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 971 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 035 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Said Nurmagomedov receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 020 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Said Nurmagomedov dominated the striking exchanges with 86 vs 32 total strikes, 65 vs 32 significant strikes, 57.5% vs 36.8% accuracy. Said Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 932 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Said Nurmagomedov controlled Justin Scoggins on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:00 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 392 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 003 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Said Nurmagomedov demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Said Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Scoggins's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Said Nurmagomedov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Scoggins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 971 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.