February 10, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justin Tafa | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Justin Tafa | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justin Tafa | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:06 | 1:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 184 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -35 |
Justin Tafa earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Justin Tafa | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 076 | 837 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Justin Tafa controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Justin Tafa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Justin Tafa | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 043 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Justin Tafa | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 420 | 267 |
| Activity ELO | 1 028 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -24 |
Justin Tafa demonstrated extended layoff with 420 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Justin Tafa capitalized on this activity level, while Parker Porter's 267-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Tafa | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 013 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Justin Tafa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Parker Porter is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justin Tafa | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.