Justin Tafa vs Yorgan De Castro

October 4, 2019

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

969
(-31)
Justin Tafa
Winner: Yorgan De Castro
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Justin Tafa-31
Yorgan De Castro+38
1038
(+38)
Yorgan De Castro

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Tafa: -21Yorgan De Castro: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin TafaYorgan De Castro
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Tafa: -21Yorgan De Castro: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin TafaYorgan De Castro
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Tafa: -42Yorgan De Castro: +95

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin TafaYorgan De Castro
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:102:10
Win Type ELO9581 095
ELO Change-42+95
💡

What Happened

Yorgan De Castro earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Tafa: -84Yorgan De Castro: +84

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin TafaYorgan De Castro
Significant Strikes Landed64
Significant Strikes Attempted912
Total Strikes Landed176
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9161 084
ELO Change-84+84
💡

What Happened

Justin Tafa controlled the striking through superior accuracy (66.7% vs 33.3%). However, since Justin Tafa lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Yorgan De Castro's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Tafa: -21Yorgan De Castro: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin TafaYorgan De Castro
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time1:090:12
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Yorgan De Castro did not secure a significant ground advantage against Justin Tafa on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Tafa: -21Yorgan De Castro: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin TafaYorgan De Castro
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Yorgan De Castro demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Yorgan De Castro capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Tafa's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Tafa: -21Yorgan De Castro: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin TafaYorgan De Castro
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Yorgan De Castro started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Tafa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Tafa: -21Yorgan De Castro: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin TafaYorgan De Castro
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.