Justin Willis vs Mark Hunt

November 30, 2018

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1143
(+40)
Justin Willis
Winner: Justin Willis
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Justin Willis+40
Mark Hunt-34
1109
(-34)
Mark Hunt

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Willis: +70Mark Hunt: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin WillisMark Hunt
Total UFC Fights418
Experience Gap-1414
Experience ELO1 1521 096
ELO Change+70-36
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What Happened

Justin Willis overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mark Hunt.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Willis: +20Mark Hunt: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin WillisMark Hunt
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0781 023
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Willis: +68Mark Hunt: -68

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin WillisMark Hunt
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2221 343
ELO Change+68-68
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What Happened

Justin Willis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Willis: +68Mark Hunt: -68

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin WillisMark Hunt
Significant Strikes Landed5919
Significant Strikes Attempted10360
Total Strikes Landed5919
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2111 189
ELO Change+68-68
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What Happened

Justin Willis controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 19 total strikes, 59 vs 19 significant strikes, 57.3% vs 31.7% accuracy. Justin Willis capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Willis: +12Mark Hunt: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin WillisMark Hunt
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 172994
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Willis: +32Mark Hunt: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin WillisMark Hunt
Days Since Last Fight22578
Activity ELO1 1321 150
ELO Change+32-26
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What Happened

Justin Willis demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Justin Willis capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Hunt's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Willis: +30Mark Hunt: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin WillisMark Hunt
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 0991 058
ELO Change+30-22
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What Happened

Justin Willis extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Hunt is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Justin Willis: +20Mark Hunt: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJustin WillisMark Hunt
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0781 018
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.