November 30, 2018
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 152 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -36 |
Justin Willis overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mark Hunt.
| Metric | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 222 | 1 343 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Justin Willis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 103 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 211 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Justin Willis controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 19 total strikes, 59 vs 19 significant strikes, 57.3% vs 31.7% accuracy. Justin Willis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 172 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 1 132 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -26 |
Justin Willis demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Justin Willis capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Hunt's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -22 |
Justin Willis extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Hunt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

