January 1, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justine Kish | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 036 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Justine Kish earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 92 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 135 | 174 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 107 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Nina Nunes controlled the striking through superior volume (107 vs 91 total strikes), significant strike advantage (92 vs 72). However, since Nina Nunes lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Justine Kish's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:51 | 2:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 053 | 893 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Justine Kish controlled Nina Nunes on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 2:51 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 420 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Justine Kish demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Justine Kish capitalized on this activity level, while Nina Nunes's 420-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Justine Kish started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nina Nunes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.