September 11, 2020
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justine Kish | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +35 |
Sabina Mazo overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Justine Kish.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:57 | 3:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +70 |
Sabina Mazo earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:57, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Justine Kish was submitted.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 93 | 131 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 210 | 275 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 131 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Sabina Mazo controlled the striking exchanges with 131 vs 94 total strikes, 131 vs 93 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sabina Mazo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:32 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 000 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Sabina Mazo edged out Justine Kish on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Sabina Mazo demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sabina Mazo capitalized on this activity level, while Justine Kish's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Sabina Mazo extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justine Kish is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justine Kish | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.