March 21, 2002
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jutaro Nakao | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 055 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jutaro Nakao | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jutaro Nakao | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 064 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Sean Sherk earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jutaro Nakao | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 227 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -103 | +103 |
Sean Sherk dominated the striking exchanges with 227 vs 8 total strikes, 21 vs 4 significant strikes, 70.0% vs 20.0% accuracy. Sean Sherk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jutaro Nakao | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 12:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 995 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Sean Sherk dominated Jutaro Nakao on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 12:10 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jutaro Nakao | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 1 007 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +19 |
Sean Sherk demonstrated extended layoff with 392 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Sean Sherk capitalized on this activity level, while Jutaro Nakao's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jutaro Nakao | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Sean Sherk extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jutaro Nakao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jutaro Nakao | Sean Sherk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.