KB Bhullar vs Tom Breese

October 9, 2020

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

968
(-32)
KB Bhullar
Winner: Tom Breese
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:42

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

KB Bhullar-32
Tom Breese+37
1125
(+37)
Tom Breese

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
KB Bhullar: -22Tom Breese: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricKB BhullarTom Breese
Total UFC Fights17
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9781 129
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tom Breese for the expected result. Had KB Bhullar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
KB Bhullar: -19Tom Breese: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricKB BhullarTom Breese
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 056
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
KB Bhullar: -19Tom Breese: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricKB BhullarTom Breese
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:421:42
Win Type ELO9811 264
ELO Change-19+45
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
KB Bhullar: -102Tom Breese: +102

Performance Statistics

MetricKB BhullarTom Breese
Significant Strikes Landed217
Significant Strikes Attempted1527
Total Strikes Landed218
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8981 204
ELO Change-102+102
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 2 significant strikes, 63.0% vs 13.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Breese capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
KB Bhullar: -42Tom Breese: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricKB BhullarTom Breese
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:05
Ground Strikes Landed06
Ground ELO9581 112
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
KB Bhullar: -16Tom Breese: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricKB BhullarTom Breese
Days Since Last FightN/A224
Activity ELO9841 102
ELO Change-16+20
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tom Breese capitalized on this activity level, while KB Bhullar's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
KB Bhullar: -18Tom Breese: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricKB BhullarTom Breese
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9821 073
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Tom Breese started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. KB Bhullar is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
KB Bhullar: -19Tom Breese: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricKB BhullarTom Breese
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 056
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.