October 9, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | KB Bhullar | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Tom Breese's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tom Breese for the expected result. Had KB Bhullar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | KB Bhullar | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | KB Bhullar | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:42 | 1:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 981 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +45 |
Tom Breese earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | KB Bhullar | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 898 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -102 | +102 |
Tom Breese controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 2 significant strikes, 63.0% vs 13.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Breese capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | KB Bhullar | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 958 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Tom Breese landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | KB Bhullar | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Tom Breese demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tom Breese capitalized on this activity level, while KB Bhullar's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | KB Bhullar | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Tom Breese started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. KB Bhullar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | KB Bhullar | Tom Breese |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

