Kai Asakura vs Tim Elliott

August 16, 2025

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

966
(-25)
Kai Asakura
Winner: Tim Elliott
Submission
Round 2 • 4:39

C-ELO Evolution

Kai Asakura-25
Tim Elliott+28
1128
(+28)
Tim Elliott

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kai Asakura: -27Tim Elliott: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricKai AsakuraTim Elliott
Total UFC Fights221
Experience Gap-1919
Experience ELO9631 062
ELO Change-27+27
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What Happened

Tim Elliott's 19-fight experience advantage (21 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Elliott for the expected result. Had Kai Asakura pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kai Asakura: -19Tim Elliott: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricKai AsakuraTim Elliott
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9741 040
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kai Asakura: -25Tim Elliott: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricKai AsakuraTim Elliott
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:394:39
Win Type ELO9691 186
ELO Change-25+38
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What Happened

Tim Elliott earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:39, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kai Asakura was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kai Asakura: -14Tim Elliott: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricKai AsakuraTim Elliott
Significant Strikes Landed2127
Significant Strikes Attempted8771
Total Strikes Landed3842
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9791 176
ELO Change-14+14
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What Happened

Tim Elliott slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 27 vs 21 significant strikes, 38.0% vs 24.1% accuracy. Tim Elliott capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kai Asakura: -75Tim Elliott: +75

Performance Statistics

MetricKai AsakuraTim Elliott
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:011:54
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9121 234
ELO Change-75+75
💡

What Happened

Tim Elliott dominated Kai Asakura on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:54 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kai Asakura: -9Tim Elliott: +8

Performance Statistics

MetricKai AsakuraTim Elliott
Days Since Last Fight252617
Activity ELO9841 220
ELO Change-9+8
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What Happened

Tim Elliott demonstrated extended layoff with 617 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tim Elliott capitalized on this activity level, while Kai Asakura's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kai Asakura: -18Tim Elliott: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricKai AsakuraTim Elliott
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9741 065
ELO Change-18+22
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What Happened

Tim Elliott extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kai Asakura is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kai Asakura: -19Tim Elliott: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricKai AsakuraTim Elliott
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9691 037
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.