February 21, 2020
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kai Kara-France | Tyson Nam |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 103 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Kai Kara-France's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kai Kara-France for the expected result. Had Tyson Nam pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kai Kara-France | Tyson Nam |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 053 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kai Kara-France | Tyson Nam |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 075 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Kai Kara-France earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kai Kara-France | Tyson Nam |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 78 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 257 | 153 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 136 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Kai Kara-France controlled the striking exchanges with 78 vs 52 total strikes, 78 vs 50 significant strikes. Kai Kara-France capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kai Kara-France | Tyson Nam |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 123 | 913 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Kai Kara-France controlled Tyson Nam on the ground with 0:17 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kai Kara-France | Tyson Nam |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 126 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -16 |
Kai Kara-France demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Kai Kara-France capitalized on this activity level, while Tyson Nam's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kai Kara-France | Tyson Nam |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 066 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Kai Kara-France started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tyson Nam is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kai Kara-France | Tyson Nam |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 053 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.