November 21, 2014
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kailin Curran | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kailin Curran | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kailin Curran | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:54 | 2:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +84 |
Paige VanZant gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Kailin Curran | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 49 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 167 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 923 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Paige VanZant dominated the striking exchanges with 167 vs 62 total strikes, 61 vs 28 significant strikes. Paige VanZant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kailin Curran | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:42 | 7:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 27 |
| Ground ELO | 935 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Paige VanZant controlled Kailin Curran on the ground with 3 takedowns, 7:38 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kailin Curran | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Paige VanZant demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Paige VanZant capitalized on this activity level, while Kailin Curran's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kailin Curran | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Paige VanZant started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kailin Curran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kailin Curran | Paige VanZant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.