September 25, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Naoyuki Kotani |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 892 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Kajan Johnson overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Naoyuki Kotani.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Naoyuki Kotani |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Naoyuki Kotani |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 028 | 840 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Kajan Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Naoyuki Kotani |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 104 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 944 | 749 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Kajan Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 57 vs 21 significant strikes, 54.8% vs 38.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kajan Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Naoyuki Kotani |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:07 | 2:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 30 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 778 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Kajan Johnson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Naoyuki Kotani on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:07 of control time, 30 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Naoyuki Kotani |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 336 |
| Activity ELO | 1 035 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -17 |
Kajan Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kajan Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Naoyuki Kotani's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Naoyuki Kotani |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Kajan Johnson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Naoyuki Kotani is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Naoyuki Kotani |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

