Kajan Johnson vs Rustam Khabilov

September 14, 2018

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1068
(-16)
Kajan Johnson
Winner: Rustam Khabilov
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kajan Johnson-16
Rustam Khabilov+18
1244
(+18)
Rustam Khabilov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kajan Johnson: -24Rustam Khabilov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricKajan JohnsonRustam Khabilov
Total UFC Fights711
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 0871 215
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Rustam Khabilov's 4-fight experience advantage (11 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rustam Khabilov for the expected result. Had Kajan Johnson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kajan Johnson: -16Rustam Khabilov: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricKajan JohnsonRustam Khabilov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0261 143
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kajan Johnson: -6Rustam Khabilov: +6

Performance Statistics

MetricKajan JohnsonRustam Khabilov
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1281 297
ELO Change-6+6
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rustam Khabilov receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kajan Johnson: -11Rustam Khabilov: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricKajan JohnsonRustam Khabilov
Significant Strikes Landed4417
Significant Strikes Attempted12370
Total Strikes Landed5734
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0861 282
ELO Change-11+11
💡

What Happened

Kajan Johnson controlled the striking through superior volume (57 vs 34 total strikes), significant strike advantage (44 vs 17), superior accuracy (35.8% vs 24.3%). However, since Kajan Johnson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rustam Khabilov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kajan Johnson: -25Rustam Khabilov: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricKajan JohnsonRustam Khabilov
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted08
Ground Control Time0:004:10
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO1 0761 420
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Rustam Khabilov controlled Kajan Johnson on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:10 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kajan Johnson: -11Rustam Khabilov: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricKajan JohnsonRustam Khabilov
Days Since Last Fight49378
Activity ELO1 0661 260
ELO Change-11+10
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What Happened

Rustam Khabilov demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Rustam Khabilov capitalized on this activity level, while Kajan Johnson's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kajan Johnson: -15Rustam Khabilov: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricKajan JohnsonRustam Khabilov
Win Streak06
Win Streak ELO1 0511 201
ELO Change-15+36
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What Happened

Rustam Khabilov continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Kajan Johnson's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kajan Johnson: -16Rustam Khabilov: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricKajan JohnsonRustam Khabilov
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0261 137
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.