March 16, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -38 |
Kajan Johnson overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Stevie Ray.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 164 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Kajan Johnson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 62 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 120 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Kajan Johnson edged the striking exchanges with 33 vs 24 significant strikes, 61.1% vs 38.7% accuracy. Kajan Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:14 | 1:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 160 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Kajan Johnson edged out Stevie Ray on the ground with 2 takedowns, 4:14 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 096 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -32 |
Kajan Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kajan Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Stevie Ray's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 086 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -22 |
Kajan Johnson extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stevie Ray is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kajan Johnson | Stevie Ray |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.