January 19, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 924 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 967 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:08 | 2:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 950 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +61 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:08, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kamal Shalorus was submitted.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 896 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 18 total strikes, 35 vs 13 significant strikes, 45.5% vs 29.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 5:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 827 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -162 | +162 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated Kamal Shalorus on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:58 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 307 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 974 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Kamal Shalorus's 307-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 970 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kamal Shalorus is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 967 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.