May 14, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 904 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Rafael Dos Anjos's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rafael Dos Anjos for the expected result. Had Kamal Shalorus pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 949 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:40 | 1:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 939 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +22 |
Rafael Dos Anjos earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 863 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Rafael Dos Anjos controlled the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 16.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 801 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Rafael Dos Anjos dominated Kamal Shalorus on the ground with 0:35 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 116 | 178 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +21 |
Rafael Dos Anjos demonstrated solid activity levels with 178 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this activity level, while Kamal Shalorus's 116-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 953 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +18 |
Rafael Dos Anjos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kamal Shalorus is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kamal Shalorus | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 949 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

