December 18, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -34 |
Kamaru Usman overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Leon Edwards.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 122 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Kamaru Usman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 126 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 119 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Kamaru Usman dominated the striking exchanges with 126 vs 36 total strikes, 48 vs 26 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 45.6% accuracy. Kamaru Usman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:50 | 0:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 276 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Kamaru Usman dominated Leon Edwards on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:50 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 064 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -24 |
Kamaru Usman demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kamaru Usman capitalized on this activity level, while Leon Edwards's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Kamaru Usman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leon Edwards is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.