August 19, 2022
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 501 | 1 437 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +48 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (16 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 410 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +102 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Leon Edwards captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 4:04 | 4:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 708 | 1 668 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +134 |
Leon Edwards gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 5, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 135 | 75 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 189 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 689 | 1 586 |
| ELO Change | -153 | +153 |
Kamaru Usman controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (189 vs 64 total strikes), significant strike advantage (83 vs 55), superior accuracy (61.5% vs 73.3%). However, since Kamaru Usman lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Leon Edwards's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:36 | 2:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 799 | 1 564 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Leon Edwards landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 434 |
| Activity ELO | 1 515 | 1 455 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +25 |
Leon Edwards demonstrated extended layoff with 434 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Leon Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Kamaru Usman's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 684 | 1 394 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +45 |
Leon Edwards extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kamaru Usman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 260 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.