November 29, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 26 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 378 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -31 |
Kamaru Usman overcame a 17-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rafael Dos Anjos.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 188 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 474 | 1 478 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Kamaru Usman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 130 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 223 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 227 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 525 | 1 423 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Kamaru Usman dominated the striking exchanges with 227 vs 84 total strikes, 130 vs 62 significant strikes. Kamaru Usman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 18 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 18:27 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 49 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 663 | 1 406 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Kamaru Usman dominated Rafael Dos Anjos on the ground with 12 vs 0 takedowns, 18:27 of control time, 49 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 336 | 1 477 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -33 |
Kamaru Usman demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kamaru Usman capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Dos Anjos's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 9 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 382 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -19 |
Kamaru Usman continued building serious momentum with a 9-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Rafael Dos Anjos's now at 0.
| Metric | Kamaru Usman | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 184 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.