Kamaru Usman vs Sergio Moraes

September 15, 2017

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1259
(+40)
Kamaru Usman
Winner: Kamaru Usman
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:48

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kamaru Usman+40
Sergio Moraes-27
1132
(-27)
Sergio Moraes

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kamaru Usman: +36Sergio Moraes: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricKamaru UsmanSergio Moraes
Total UFC Fights69
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 2071 120
ELO Change+36-30
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What Happened

Kamaru Usman overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sergio Moraes.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kamaru Usman: +20Sergio Moraes: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKamaru UsmanSergio Moraes
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1241 075
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kamaru Usman: +96Sergio Moraes: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricKamaru UsmanSergio Moraes
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:482:48
Win Type ELO1 3491 215
ELO Change+96-42
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What Happened

Kamaru Usman earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kamaru Usman: +46Sergio Moraes: -46

Performance Statistics

MetricKamaru UsmanSergio Moraes
Significant Strikes Landed1613
Significant Strikes Attempted4827
Total Strikes Landed1613
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 3811 104
ELO Change+46-46
💡

What Happened

Kamaru Usman controlled the striking exchanges with 33.3% vs 48.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kamaru Usman capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kamaru Usman: +25Sergio Moraes: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricKamaru UsmanSergio Moraes
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:050:00
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 4861 236
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kamaru Usman: +33Sergio Moraes: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKamaru UsmanSergio Moraes
Days Since Last Fight161189
Activity ELO1 2131 130
ELO Change+33-19
💡

What Happened

Kamaru Usman demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kamaru Usman capitalized on this activity level, while Sergio Moraes's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kamaru Usman: +46Sergio Moraes: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKamaru UsmanSergio Moraes
Win Streak60
Win Streak ELO1 1911 099
ELO Change+46-19
💡

What Happened

Kamaru Usman continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Sergio Moraes's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kamaru Usman: +20Sergio Moraes: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKamaru UsmanSergio Moraes
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1241 075
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.