June 18, 2021
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kanako Murata | Virna Jandiroba |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Virna Jandiroba's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Virna Jandiroba for the expected result. Had Kanako Murata pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Kanako Murata | Virna Jandiroba |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kanako Murata | Virna Jandiroba |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 017 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Virna Jandiroba gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Kanako Murata | Virna Jandiroba |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 997 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Virna Jandiroba edged the striking exchanges with 36 vs 23 significant strikes. Virna Jandiroba capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kanako Murata | Virna Jandiroba |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:34 | 0:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 079 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Virna Jandiroba did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kanako Murata on the ground with 0:46 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Kanako Murata | Virna Jandiroba |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Virna Jandiroba demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Virna Jandiroba capitalized on this activity level, while Kanako Murata's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kanako Murata | Virna Jandiroba |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +24 |
Virna Jandiroba started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kanako Murata is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kanako Murata | Virna Jandiroba |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.