November 30, 2017
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karine Gevorgyan | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Karine Gevorgyan | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karine Gevorgyan | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:40 | 1:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +80 |
Rachael Ostovich earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Karine Gevorgyan | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 961 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Rachael Ostovich slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Rachael Ostovich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Karine Gevorgyan | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 0:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 944 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Rachael Ostovich controlled Karine Gevorgyan on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:36 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Karine Gevorgyan | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Rachael Ostovich demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Rachael Ostovich capitalized on this activity level, while Karine Gevorgyan's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karine Gevorgyan | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Rachael Ostovich started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karine Gevorgyan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karine Gevorgyan | Rachael Ostovich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

