June 2, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karine Silva | Ketlen Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 104 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Ketlen Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Ketlen Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:45 | 1:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 145 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -32 |
Karine Silva earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Ketlen Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 085 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Ketlen Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:21 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 193 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Karine Silva dominated Ketlen Souza on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:21 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Ketlen Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 364 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Karine Silva demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Karine Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Ketlen Souza's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Ketlen Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Karine Silva extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ketlen Souza is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Ketlen Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.