June 3, 2022
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karine Silva | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Karine Silva overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Poliana Botelho.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:55 | 4:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 084 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -51 |
Karine Silva earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:55, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 025 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Poliana Botelho controlled the striking through superior accuracy (73.1% vs 25.0%). However, since Poliana Botelho lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Karine Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:47 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 852 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Karine Silva dominated Poliana Botelho on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:47 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 399 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Karine Silva demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Karine Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Poliana Botelho's 399-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Karine Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Poliana Botelho is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Poliana Botelho |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.