November 16, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karine Silva | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 151 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Viviane Araujo's 7-fight experience advantage (12 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Viviane Araujo for the expected result. Had Karine Silva pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 057 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 183 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Viviane Araujo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 105 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 124 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Viviane Araujo edged the striking exchanges with 105 vs 76 total strikes, 48 vs 58 significant strikes, 56.5% vs 43.9% accuracy. Viviane Araujo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:30 | 2:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 264 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Viviane Araujo controlled Karine Silva on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 2:25 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 288 |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Viviane Araujo demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Viviane Araujo capitalized on this activity level, while Karine Silva's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Viviane Araujo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karine Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karine Silva | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 056 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.