Karl Roberson vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

March 11, 2022

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

985
(-34)
Karl Roberson
Winner: Khalil Rountree Jr.
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:25

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Karl Roberson-34
Khalil Rountree Jr.+40
1081
(+40)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: -39Khalil Rountree Jr.: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonKhalil Rountree Jr.
Total UFC Fights912
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 0091 004
ELO Change-39+39
💡

What Happened

Khalil Rountree Jr.'s 3-fight experience advantage (12 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Khalil Rountree Jr. for the expected result. Had Karl Roberson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: -21Khalil Rountree Jr.: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonKhalil Rountree Jr.
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9851 019
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: -29Khalil Rountree Jr.: +60

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonKhalil Rountree Jr.
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:250:25
Win Type ELO1 0331 230
ELO Change-29+60
💡

What Happened

Khalil Rountree Jr. gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: -71Khalil Rountree Jr.: +71

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonKhalil Rountree Jr.
Significant Strikes Landed1726
Significant Strikes Attempted2869
Total Strikes Landed1726
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO9201 228
ELO Change-71+71
💡

What Happened

Khalil Rountree Jr. dominated the striking exchanges with 26 vs 17 significant strikes, 37.7% vs 60.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: -52Khalil Rountree Jr.: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonKhalil Rountree Jr.
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:15
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO9061 014
ELO Change-52+52
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: -21Khalil Rountree Jr.: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonKhalil Rountree Jr.
Days Since Last Fight323190
Activity ELO1 0431 095
ELO Change-21+26
💡

What Happened

Khalil Rountree Jr. demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Khalil Rountree Jr. capitalized on this activity level, while Karl Roberson's 323-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: -21Khalil Rountree Jr.: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonKhalil Rountree Jr.
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9981 037
ELO Change-21+26
💡

What Happened

Khalil Rountree Jr. extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karl Roberson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: -22Khalil Rountree Jr.: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonKhalil Rountree Jr.
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9841 019
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.