Karl Roberson vs Roman Kopylov

November 8, 2019

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1089
(+30)
Karl Roberson
Winner: Karl Roberson
Submission
Round 3 • 4:01

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Karl Roberson+30
Roman Kopylov-25
975
(-25)
Roman Kopylov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +24Roman Kopylov: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonRoman Kopylov
Total UFC Fights61
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 106976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Karl Roberson's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Karl Roberson for the expected result. Had Roman Kopylov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +19Roman Kopylov: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonRoman Kopylov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 047981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +49Roman Kopylov: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonRoman Kopylov
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish4:014:01
Win Type ELO1 130968
ELO Change+49-32
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What Happened

Karl Roberson earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:01, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Roman Kopylov was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +19Roman Kopylov: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonRoman Kopylov
Significant Strikes Landed4337
Significant Strikes Attempted11795
Total Strikes Landed4338
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 103981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Karl Roberson slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 43 vs 37 significant strikes. Karl Roberson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +48Roman Kopylov: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonRoman Kopylov
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted31
Ground Control Time0:560:02
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 110952
ELO Change+48-48
💡

What Happened

Karl Roberson controlled Roman Kopylov on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +34Roman Kopylov: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonRoman Kopylov
Days Since Last Fight120N/A
Activity ELO1 105983
ELO Change+34-17
💡

What Happened

Karl Roberson demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Karl Roberson capitalized on this activity level, while Roman Kopylov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +22Roman Kopylov: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonRoman Kopylov
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 060981
ELO Change+22-19
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What Happened

Karl Roberson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roman Kopylov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +19Roman Kopylov: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonRoman Kopylov
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 047981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.