Karl Roberson vs Wellington Turman

July 12, 2019

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1059
(+23)
Karl Roberson
Winner: Karl Roberson
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Karl Roberson+23
Wellington Turman-21
979
(-21)
Wellington Turman

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +26Wellington Turman: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonWellington Turman
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 082974
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Karl Roberson's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Karl Roberson for the expected result. Had Wellington Turman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +21Wellington Turman: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonWellington Turman
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 028979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +8Wellington Turman: -8

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonWellington Turman
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 081992
ELO Change+8-8
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Karl Roberson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +35Wellington Turman: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonWellington Turman
Significant Strikes Landed5025
Significant Strikes Attempted8051
Total Strikes Landed7938
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 084965
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Karl Roberson controlled the striking exchanges with 79 vs 38 total strikes, 50 vs 25 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 49.0% accuracy. Karl Roberson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +20Wellington Turman: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonWellington Turman
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted07
Ground Control Time5:476:53
Ground Strikes Landed2712
Ground ELO1 062980
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Karl Roberson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Wellington Turman on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:47 of control time, 27 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +33Wellington Turman: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonWellington Turman
Days Since Last Fight175N/A
Activity ELO1 071981
ELO Change+33-19
💡

What Happened

Karl Roberson demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Karl Roberson capitalized on this activity level, while Wellington Turman's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +22Wellington Turman: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonWellington Turman
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 038980
ELO Change+22-20
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What Happened

Karl Roberson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wellington Turman is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Roberson: +21Wellington Turman: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl RobersonWellington Turman
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 028979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.