Karl Williams vs Lukasz Brzeski

March 10, 2023

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1045
(+45)
Karl Williams
Winner: Karl Williams
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Karl Williams+45
Lukasz Brzeski-45
937
(-45)
Lukasz Brzeski

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Williams: +60Lukasz Brzeski: -60

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl WilliamsLukasz Brzeski
Total UFC Fights12
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 060915
ELO Change+60-60
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Williams: +20Lukasz Brzeski: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl WilliamsLukasz Brzeski
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 020960
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Williams: +41Lukasz Brzeski: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl WilliamsLukasz Brzeski
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 041950
ELO Change+41-41
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What Happened

Karl Williams earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Williams: +67Lukasz Brzeski: -67

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl WilliamsLukasz Brzeski
Significant Strikes Landed3826
Significant Strikes Attempted5846
Total Strikes Landed12049
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 067917
ELO Change+67-67
💡

What Happened

Karl Williams dominated the striking exchanges with 120 vs 49 total strikes, 38 vs 26 significant strikes, 65.5% vs 56.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Karl Williams capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Williams: +109Lukasz Brzeski: -109

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl WilliamsLukasz Brzeski
Takedowns Landed80
Takedowns Attempted131
Ground Control Time10:130:29
Ground Strikes Landed140
Ground ELO1 109874
ELO Change+109-109
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What Happened

Karl Williams landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Williams: +20Lukasz Brzeski: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl WilliamsLukasz Brzeski
Days Since Last FightN/A211
Activity ELO1 020960
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Karl Williams demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Karl Williams capitalized on this activity level, while Lukasz Brzeski's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Williams: +22Lukasz Brzeski: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl WilliamsLukasz Brzeski
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 022960
ELO Change+22-20
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What Happened

Karl Williams started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lukasz Brzeski is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Karl Williams: +20Lukasz Brzeski: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKarl WilliamsLukasz Brzeski
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 020960
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.