August 20, 2004
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 041 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Karo Parisyan receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Nick Diaz controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (121 vs 48 total strikes), significant strike advantage (37 vs 27). However, since Nick Diaz lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Karo Parisyan's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 9 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:54 | 1:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 144 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +152 | -152 |
Karo Parisyan dominated Nick Diaz on the ground with 9 vs 1 takedowns, 6:54 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 030 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -24 |
Karo Parisyan demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Karo Parisyan capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Diaz's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Karo Parisyan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Diaz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.