April 14, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Karo Parisyan's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Karo Parisyan for the expected result. Had Nick Thompson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:44 | 4:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 197 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -32 |
Karo Parisyan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 175 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -103 |
Karo Parisyan controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 2 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 28.6% accuracy. Karo Parisyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:03 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 357 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Karo Parisyan controlled Nick Thompson on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 4:03 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 137 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Karo Parisyan demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Karo Parisyan capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Thompson's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 103 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -18 |
Karo Parisyan extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Thompson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Nick Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

