November 16, 2007
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 164 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Karo Parisyan's 9-fight experience advantage (10 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Karo Parisyan for the expected result. Had Ryo Chonan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 115 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 258 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Karo Parisyan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 110 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 117 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 231 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Karo Parisyan dominated the striking exchanges with 117 vs 57 total strikes, 49 vs 35 significant strikes. Karo Parisyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:24 | 1:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 356 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Karo Parisyan dominated Ryo Chonan on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 7:24 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 223 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -10 |
Karo Parisyan demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Karo Parisyan capitalized on this activity level, while Ryo Chonan's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 143 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -14 |
Karo Parisyan extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryo Chonan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Ryo Chonan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 115 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

