April 1, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 128 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +41 |
Thiago Alves overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Karo Parisyan.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 092 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:24 | 0:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 217 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +84 |
Thiago Alves gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 154 | 1 364 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Thiago Alves controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 10 significant strikes, 35.4% vs 22.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thiago Alves capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:55 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 322 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Thiago Alves landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 137 | 137 |
| Activity ELO | 1 203 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Thiago Alves demonstrated solid activity levels with 137 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Alves capitalized on this activity level, while Karo Parisyan's 137-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 119 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +45 |
Thiago Alves continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Karo Parisyan's now at 0.
| Metric | Karo Parisyan | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 092 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.