Karol Rosa vs Lara Procopio

August 30, 2019

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1028
(+28)
Karol Rosa
Winner: Karol Rosa
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Karol Rosa+28
Lara Procopio-28
972
(-28)
Lara Procopio

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Karol Rosa: +21Lara Procopio: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricKarol RosaLara Procopio
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Karol Rosa: +21Lara Procopio: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricKarol RosaLara Procopio
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Karol Rosa: +11Lara Procopio: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricKarol RosaLara Procopio
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 011990
ELO Change+11-10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Karol Rosa receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Karol Rosa: +54Lara Procopio: -54

Performance Statistics

MetricKarol RosaLara Procopio
Significant Strikes Landed171165
Significant Strikes Attempted351290
Total Strikes Landed177169
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 054946
ELO Change+54-54
💡

What Happened

Karol Rosa controlled the striking exchanges with 171 vs 165 significant strikes, 48.7% vs 56.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Karol Rosa capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Karol Rosa: +54Lara Procopio: -54

Performance Statistics

MetricKarol RosaLara Procopio
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time1:040:22
Ground Strikes Landed50
Ground ELO1 054946
ELO Change+54-54
💡

What Happened

Karol Rosa landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Karol Rosa: +21Lara Procopio: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricKarol RosaLara Procopio
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Karol Rosa demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Karol Rosa capitalized on this activity level, while Lara Procopio's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Karol Rosa: +23Lara Procopio: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricKarol RosaLara Procopio
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Karol Rosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lara Procopio is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Karol Rosa: +21Lara Procopio: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricKarol RosaLara Procopio
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.