April 21, 2023
Women's Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 081 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 047 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Norma Dumont earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 144 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 103 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Karol Rosa controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (144 vs 63 total strikes), 1 knockdown. However, since Karol Rosa lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Norma Dumont's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:13 | 4:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 115 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Norma Dumont slightly outworked Karol Rosa on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:54 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Norma Dumont demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Norma Dumont capitalized on this activity level, while Karol Rosa's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Norma Dumont extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karol Rosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Norma Dumont |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.