July 10, 2020
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 044 | 889 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 043 | 897 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Karol Rosa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 120 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 228 | 135 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 177 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 083 | 895 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Karol Rosa dominated the striking exchanges with 177 vs 78 total strikes, 120 vs 45 significant strikes, 52.6% vs 33.3% accuracy. Karol Rosa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:50 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 32 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 099 | 854 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Karol Rosa controlled Vanessa Melo on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:50 of control time, 32 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Karol Rosa demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Karol Rosa capitalized on this activity level, while Vanessa Melo's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Karol Rosa extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vanessa Melo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Vanessa Melo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.