June 30, 2023
Women's Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 111 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 058 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Karol Rosa receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 95 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 130 | 156 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 117 | 151 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 118 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Yana Santos controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (151 vs 117 total strikes), significant strike advantage (95 vs 66), superior accuracy (60.9% vs 50.8%). However, since Yana Santos lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Karol Rosa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 3:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 152 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Karol Rosa controlled Yana Santos on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:41 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 132 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -20 |
Karol Rosa demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since her last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Karol Rosa capitalized on this activity level, while Yana Santos's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 085 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Karol Rosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yana Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karol Rosa | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.