December 18, 2015
Women's Strawweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Randa Markos.
| Metric | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 047 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 169 | 100 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 040 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz controlled the striking exchanges with 104 vs 56 total strikes, 66 vs 34 significant strikes. Karolina Kowalkiewicz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:29 | 5:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 027 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz did not secure a significant ground advantage against Randa Markos on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:29 of control time, 10 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Karolina Kowalkiewicz capitalized on this activity level, while Randa Markos's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Karolina Kowalkiewicz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randa Markos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.