Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Silvana Gomez Juarez

November 11, 2022

Women's Strawweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1036
(+27)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Winner: Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Karolina Kowalkiewicz+27
Silvana Gomez Juarez-25
954
(-25)
Silvana Gomez Juarez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +28Silvana Gomez Juarez: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricKarolina KowalkiewiczSilvana Gomez Juarez
Total UFC Fights144
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 041950
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz's 10-fight experience advantage (14 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Karolina Kowalkiewicz for the expected result. Had Silvana Gomez Juarez pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +20Silvana Gomez Juarez: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKarolina KowalkiewiczSilvana Gomez Juarez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 014959
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +45Silvana Gomez Juarez: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricKarolina KowalkiewiczSilvana Gomez Juarez
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 047982
ELO Change+45-45
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What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +26Silvana Gomez Juarez: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricKarolina KowalkiewiczSilvana Gomez Juarez
Significant Strikes Landed7477
Significant Strikes Attempted202263
Total Strikes Landed9079
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO994996
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Karolina Kowalkiewicz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +24Silvana Gomez Juarez: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricKarolina KowalkiewiczSilvana Gomez Juarez
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time4:030:10
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 049842
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz edged out Silvana Gomez Juarez on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:03 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +30Silvana Gomez Juarez: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricKarolina KowalkiewiczSilvana Gomez Juarez
Days Since Last Fight162155
Activity ELO1 099985
ELO Change+30-17
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What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Karolina Kowalkiewicz capitalized on this activity level, while Silvana Gomez Juarez's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +23Silvana Gomez Juarez: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricKarolina KowalkiewiczSilvana Gomez Juarez
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 034962
ELO Change+23-19
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What Happened

Karolina Kowalkiewicz extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Silvana Gomez Juarez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Karolina Kowalkiewicz: +20Silvana Gomez Juarez: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKarolina KowalkiewiczSilvana Gomez Juarez
Weight ClassWomen's StrawweightWomen's Strawweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 009959
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.