July 12, 2016
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 064 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Katlyn Cerminara overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Lauren Murphy.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 047 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Katlyn Cerminara earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 143 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 025 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Lauren Murphy controlled the striking through superior volume (87 vs 67 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (38 vs 45). However, since Lauren Murphy lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Katlyn Cerminara's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 5:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 020 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Katlyn Cerminara did not secure a significant ground advantage against Lauren Murphy on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 143 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Katlyn Cerminara demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this activity level, while Lauren Murphy's 143-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Katlyn Cerminara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lauren Murphy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Lauren Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.