March 8, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 158 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +44 |
Maycee Barber overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Katlyn Cerminara.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 096 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 201 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Maycee Barber earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 84 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 150 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 99 | 122 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 090 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Maycee Barber controlled the striking exchanges with 122 vs 99 total strikes, 84 vs 66 significant strikes, 56.0% vs 43.4% accuracy. Maycee Barber capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:52 | 4:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 094 | 1 301 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Maycee Barber controlled Katlyn Cerminara on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 4:45 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 505 | 260 |
| Activity ELO | 1 274 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Maycee Barber demonstrated standard activity with 260 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Maycee Barber capitalized on this activity level, while Katlyn Cerminara's 505-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 127 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +48 |
Maycee Barber continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Katlyn Cerminara's now at 0.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Maycee Barber |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 089 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.