May 14, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 176 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Katlyn Cerminara's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Katlyn Cerminara for the expected result. Had Viviane Araujo pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 107 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 250 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Katlyn Cerminara earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 127 | 89 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 292 | 196 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 135 | 129 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 081 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Katlyn Cerminara controlled the striking exchanges with 127 vs 89 significant strikes. Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 3:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 132 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Katlyn Cerminara did not secure a significant ground advantage against Viviane Araujo on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 115 |
| Activity ELO | 1 289 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -13 |
Katlyn Cerminara demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this activity level, while Viviane Araujo's 115-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 126 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Katlyn Cerminara extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Viviane Araujo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Katlyn Cerminara | Viviane Araujo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.