August 2, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kaue Fernandes | Mohammad Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Kaue Fernandes | Mohammad Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kaue Fernandes | Mohammad Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:45 | 4:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 074 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -38 |
Kaue Fernandes earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Kaue Fernandes | Mohammad Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 124 | 832 |
| ELO Change | +141 | -141 |
Kaue Fernandes controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 4 total strikes, 37 vs 4 significant strikes, 58.7% vs 22.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kaue Fernandes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kaue Fernandes | Mohammad Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 974 | 846 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Kaue Fernandes landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Kaue Fernandes | Mohammad Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Kaue Fernandes demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Kaue Fernandes capitalized on this activity level, while Mohammad Yahya's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kaue Fernandes | Mohammad Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Kaue Fernandes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mohammad Yahya is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kaue Fernandes | Mohammad Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.