October 5, 2024
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Kayla Harrison | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 188 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -36 |
Kayla Harrison overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ketlen Vieira.
| Metric | Kayla Harrison | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Kayla Harrison | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 157 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Kayla Harrison earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Kayla Harrison | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 172 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Kayla Harrison controlled the striking exchanges with 98 vs 67 total strikes, 55 vs 24 significant strikes, 58.5% vs 39.3% accuracy. Kayla Harrison capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Kayla Harrison | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:54 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 339 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Kayla Harrison controlled Ketlen Vieira on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:54 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Kayla Harrison | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 442 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -28 |
Kayla Harrison demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kayla Harrison capitalized on this activity level, while Ketlen Vieira's 442-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Kayla Harrison | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -27 |
Kayla Harrison extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ketlen Vieira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Kayla Harrison | Ketlen Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.