Kazuhiro Nakamura vs Lyoto Machida

Lyoto Machida's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Lyoto Machida for the expected result. Had Kazuhiro Nakamura pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Lyoto Machida earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Lyoto Machida dominated the striking exchanges with 134 vs 27 total strikes, 70 vs 15 significant strikes, 78.7% vs 48.4% accuracy. Lyoto Machida capitalized on this striking dominance.

Lyoto Machida controlled Kazuhiro Nakamura on the ground with 2 takedowns, 9:08 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Lyoto Machida demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Lyoto Machida capitalized on this activity level, while Kazuhiro Nakamura's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Lyoto Machida extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kazuhiro Nakamura is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.