Kazula Vargas vs Rongzhu

April 23, 2021

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

975
(+32)
Kazula Vargas
Winner: Kazula Vargas
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Kazula Vargas+32
Rongzhu-33
967
(-33)
Rongzhu

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Kazula Vargas: +40Rongzhu: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricKazula VargasRongzhu
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO947960
ELO Change+40-40
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What Happened

Kazula Vargas's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kazula Vargas for the expected result. Had Rongzhu pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Kazula Vargas: +24Rongzhu: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricKazula VargasRongzhu
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO982976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Kazula Vargas: +49Rongzhu: -49

Performance Statistics

MetricKazula VargasRongzhu
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO994951
ELO Change+49-49
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What Happened

Kazula Vargas earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Kazula Vargas: +49Rongzhu: -49

Performance Statistics

MetricKazula VargasRongzhu
Significant Strikes Landed9642
Significant Strikes Attempted176105
Total Strikes Landed11149
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 001951
ELO Change+49-49
💡

What Happened

Kazula Vargas dominated the striking exchanges with 111 vs 49 total strikes, 96 vs 42 significant strikes, 54.5% vs 40.0% accuracy. Kazula Vargas capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Kazula Vargas: +27Rongzhu: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricKazula VargasRongzhu
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted14
Ground Control Time1:102:44
Ground Strikes Landed12
Ground ELO933973
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Kazula Vargas did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rongzhu on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:10 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Kazula Vargas: +21Rongzhu: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricKazula VargasRongzhu
Days Since Last Fight434N/A
Activity ELO979976
ELO Change+21-24
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What Happened

Kazula Vargas demonstrated extended layoff with 434 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Kazula Vargas capitalized on this activity level, while Rongzhu's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Kazula Vargas: +26Rongzhu: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricKazula VargasRongzhu
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO984976
ELO Change+26-24
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What Happened

Kazula Vargas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rongzhu is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Kazula Vargas: +24Rongzhu: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricKazula VargasRongzhu
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO982976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.