Keigo Kunihara vs Marcio Cruz

October 6, 2005

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

968
(-32)
Keigo Kunihara
Winner: Marcio Cruz
Submission
Round 2 • 1:02

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Keigo Kunihara-32
Marcio Cruz+35
1035
(+35)
Marcio Cruz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Keigo Kunihara: -21Marcio Cruz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricKeigo KuniharaMarcio Cruz
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Keigo Kunihara: -21Marcio Cruz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricKeigo KuniharaMarcio Cruz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Keigo Kunihara: -42Marcio Cruz: +65

Performance Statistics

MetricKeigo KuniharaMarcio Cruz
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:021:02
Win Type ELO9581 065
ELO Change-42+65
💡

What Happened

Marcio Cruz earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:02, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Keigo Kunihara was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Keigo Kunihara: -64Marcio Cruz: +64

Performance Statistics

MetricKeigo KuniharaMarcio Cruz
Significant Strikes Landed112
Significant Strikes Attempted1028
Total Strikes Landed1019
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9361 064
ELO Change-64+64
💡

What Happened

Marcio Cruz edged the striking exchanges with 12 vs 1 significant strikes, 42.9% vs 10.0% accuracy. Marcio Cruz capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Keigo Kunihara: -42Marcio Cruz: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricKeigo KuniharaMarcio Cruz
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted52
Ground Control Time3:150:27
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO9581 042
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Marcio Cruz edged out Keigo Kunihara on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:27 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Keigo Kunihara: -21Marcio Cruz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricKeigo KuniharaMarcio Cruz
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Marcio Cruz demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Marcio Cruz capitalized on this activity level, while Keigo Kunihara's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Keigo Kunihara: -21Marcio Cruz: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricKeigo KuniharaMarcio Cruz
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Marcio Cruz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Keigo Kunihara is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Keigo Kunihara: -21Marcio Cruz: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricKeigo KuniharaMarcio Cruz
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.