Keita Nakamura vs Kyle Noke

July 12, 2016

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1002
(+57)
Keita Nakamura
Winner: Keita Nakamura
Submission
Round 2 • 4:59

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Keita Nakamura+57
Kyle Noke-47
1038
(-47)
Kyle Noke

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +44Kyle Noke: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraKyle Noke
Total UFC Fights611
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO981919
ELO Change+44-33
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What Happened

Keita Nakamura overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kyle Noke.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +26Kyle Noke: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraKyle Noke
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9761 002
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +101Kyle Noke: -65

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraKyle Noke
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:594:59
Win Type ELO1 0911 144
ELO Change+101-65
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What Happened

Keita Nakamura earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:59, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kyle Noke was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +87Kyle Noke: -87

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraKyle Noke
Significant Strikes Landed4144
Significant Strikes Attempted11377
Total Strikes Landed4548
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 0381 139
ELO Change+87-87
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What Happened

Keita Nakamura controlled the striking exchanges with 36.3% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Keita Nakamura capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +86Kyle Noke: -86

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraKyle Noke
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time0:320:33
Ground Strikes Landed91
Ground ELO9641 025
ELO Change+86-86
💡

What Happened

Keita Nakamura controlled Kyle Noke on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:32 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +57Kyle Noke: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraKyle Noke
Days Since Last Fight137193
Activity ELO1 0111 054
ELO Change+57-28
💡

What Happened

Keita Nakamura demonstrated solid activity levels with 137 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Keita Nakamura capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Noke's 193-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +29Kyle Noke: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraKyle Noke
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO9821 019
ELO Change+29-26
💡

What Happened

Keita Nakamura started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Noke is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +26Kyle Noke: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraKyle Noke
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9761 002
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.