Keita Nakamura vs Salim Touahri

November 30, 2018

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1010
(+26)
Keita Nakamura
Winner: Keita Nakamura
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Keita Nakamura+26
Salim Touahri-25
954
(-25)
Salim Touahri

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +31Salim Touahri: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraSalim Touahri
Total UFC Fights102
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 014943
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Keita Nakamura's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Keita Nakamura for the expected result. Had Salim Touahri pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +22Salim Touahri: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraSalim Touahri
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO986959
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +9Salim Touahri: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraSalim Touahri
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 038967
ELO Change+9-9
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Keita Nakamura receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +57Salim Touahri: -57

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraSalim Touahri
Significant Strikes Landed4134
Significant Strikes Attempted9779
Total Strikes Landed5542
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 050924
ELO Change+57-57
💡

What Happened

Keita Nakamura controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 34 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Keita Nakamura capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +21Salim Touahri: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraSalim Touahri
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted40
Ground Control Time0:000:40
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO988953
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Keita Nakamura did not secure a significant ground advantage against Salim Touahri on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +25Salim Touahri: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraSalim Touahri
Days Since Last Fight225407
Activity ELO1 022964
ELO Change+25-20
💡

What Happened

Keita Nakamura demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Keita Nakamura capitalized on this activity level, while Salim Touahri's 407-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +24Salim Touahri: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraSalim Touahri
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO997961
ELO Change+24-22
💡

What Happened

Keita Nakamura started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Salim Touahri is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Keita Nakamura: +22Salim Touahri: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricKeita NakamuraSalim Touahri
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO986959
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.